Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Plock II

2 - 1

MKS Mlawa

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Saganowski F.

35'

Cegielka M.

(Penalty)

37'

Bielka A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Plock II in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plock II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Plock II

33%

Draws

27%

MKS Mlawa

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Plock II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Plock II lately — more wins on the board than MKS Mlawa.
Model gives Plock II a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%

Plock II Clean Sheet 16%

MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Plock II	MKS Mlawa
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	13	11
Draws	8	5
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.5	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Plock II vs MKS Mlawa

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group I

MKS Mlawa vs Plock II

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Apr 19, 2025 III Liga - Group I

MKS Mlawa vs Plock II

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Plock II vs MKS Mlawa

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

4:2

Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly

Plock II vs MKS Mlawa

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bielka A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Krzyzanski D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

MKS Mlawa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plock II 39 / 100

MKS Mlawa 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Plock II MKS Mlawa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plock II scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

MKS Mlawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Plock II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plock II VS MKS Mlawa

1.5 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15