Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plock II vs Suwalki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Fronczak J.
18' Event
Guzewski B.
35' Event
Bielka A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Plock II
39%
Draws
30%
Suwalki
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Suwalki have won more games recently than Plock II.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Plock II Clean Sheet 13%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plock II Suwalki
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Suwalki
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Plock II
3:2
Apr 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Suwalki
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Plock II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bielka A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dari O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Fronczak J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guzewski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plock II 31 / 100
Suwalki 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plock II Suwalki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Plock II scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Suwalki has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Plock II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plock II VS Suwalki
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315