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Plus Ultra vs Ciudad Cieza

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plus Ultra play Ciudad Cieza in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025. Ciudad Cieza are favorites here. Recently, Plus Ultra averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. Ciudad Cieza averaged 1.87 goals scored and 0.52 conceded. In past meetings, Plus Ultra won 1, Ciudad Cieza won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 9, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Plus Ultra and 1.86 for Ciudad Cieza. This points to a Ciudad Cieza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Plus Ultra
20%
Draws
70%
Ciudad Cieza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad Cieza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Plus Ultra picked up more points recently compared to Ciudad Cieza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 10%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plus Ultra Ciudad Cieza
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 18
Draws 2 10
Losses 27 3
Goals Scored 0.63 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.87 0.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Ciudad Cieza
0:5
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Plus Ultra
5:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Ciudad Cieza
2:2
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Plus Ultra
1:0
May 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Plus Ultra
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plus Ultra Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ciudad Cieza Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pujante D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plus Ultra 11 / 100
Ciudad Cieza 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plus Ultra Ciudad Cieza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad Cieza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ciudad Cieza & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +400%
50.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Plus Ultra attacking → ← attacking Ciudad Cieza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plus Ultra scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Ciudad Cieza let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Plus Ultra went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad Cieza lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 64
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lorca Deportiva34246462:2278
2Ciudad Cieza34217673:2670
3Molinense341813354:2467
4Santomera34188866:4262
5Aguilas FC B34188852:2362
6CA Pulpileno341510935:2355
7UCAM Murcia B341491145:3551
8Real Murcia B3413101144:3149
9E.G. El Palmar3412101248:4546
10Bala Azul3410141034:2744
11Caravaca3411101335:4143
12Deportivo Maritimo341071738:5737
13Muleno CF349101529:4937
14FC Cartagena SAD B34991627:4336
15Minerva348101633:4534
16Bullense34791829:5830
17Alcantarilla34772021:6528
18Plus Ultra34232923:929