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Plus Ultra vs La Union CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Union CF in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Union CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Plus Ultra
20%
Draws
64%
La Union CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Union CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Union CF lately — more wins on the board than Plus Ultra.
  • Model gives La Union CF a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 10%
La Union CF Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plus Ultra La Union CF
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 29 12
Goals Scored 0.65 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.74 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs Plus Ultra
1:0
Dec 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs La Union CF
1:4
May 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs La Union CF
1:0
Dec 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs Plus Ultra
1:1
Apr 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs Plus Ultra
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plus Ultra 22 / 100
La Union CF 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plus Ultra La Union CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Union CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: La Union CF conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: La Union CF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Plus Ultra scored in 47% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Plus Ultra VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Plus Ultra

(Home)
11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3
Caravaca
04 May
Minerva
4 : 0
Plus Ultra
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2
Muleno CF
20 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
5 : 0
Plus Ultra
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Molinense
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La Union CF

(Away)
14 May
La Union CF
0 : 1
Deportiva Minera
07 May
Huercal-Overa CF
3 : 0
La Union CF
30 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 2
EDMF Churra
23 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
4 : 0
La Union CF
13 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 64:16 78
2 Aguilas FC 34 24 5 5 62:29 77
3 E.G. El Palmar 34 20 6 8 71:30 66
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 6 9 58:39 63
5 Yeclano 34 18 8 8 52:27 62
6 La Union CF 34 16 11 7 51:38 59
7 Huercal-Overa CF 34 14 8 12 42:41 50
8 Real Murcia B 34 15 4 15 45:39 49
9 Deportiva Minera 34 13 7 14 56:61 46
10 Muleno CF 34 13 6 15 40:48 45
11 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 34 12 5 17 50:42 41
12 EDMF Churra 34 12 5 17 37:45 41
13 Ciudad de Murcia 34 11 6 17 45:56 39
14 CA Pulpileno 34 8 11 15 33:43 35
15 Pinatar 34 8 7 19 41:59 31
16 Plus Ultra 34 7 10 17 35:55 31
17 EF Alhama 34 6 8 20 39:69 26
18 Caravaca 34 3 7 24 29:113 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)