Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plymouth Parkway vs Yate

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Beardmore M.

AI Match Summary

Plymouth Parkway in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plymouth Parkway.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Plymouth Parkway
44%
Draws
20%
Yate
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Plymouth Parkway have won more games recently than Yate.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 13%
Yate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth Parkway Yate
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Yate
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Plymouth Parkway
2:1
Feb 25, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Yate
2:1
Oct 11, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Plymouth Parkway
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Top Goalscorer Beardmore M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Yate Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth Parkway 35 / 100
Yate 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth Parkway Yate

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Yate conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Plymouth Parkway found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Plymouth Parkway has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth Parkway VS Yate
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Walton & Hersham42295894:4292
2Farnham42259890:5084
3Gloucester City422571093:5182
4Poole Town422112980:5075
5Berkhamsted Town422191262:5072
6Sholing421815974:5369
7Chertsey Town4219101364:5567
8Gosport Borough421961774:7563
9Uxbridge4215141374:7059
10Havant & Waterlooville421771878:7058
11Plymouth Parkway421681864:7956
12Bracknell Town4215101770:7155
13Yate4214101857:6252
14Hanwell Town4214101857:6352
15Wimborne4212151563:6251
16Taunton Town421491965:7051
17Basingstoke421491961:7151
18Evesham4211141751:6247
19Weymouth421382153:7147
20Dorchester429132048:7940
21Hungerford429112247:8738
22Tiverton42533439:11518