Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2018/2019 Home Park

Bristol City U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Plymouth U23 play Bristol City U23 in the Premier League Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Plymouth U23 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Bristol City U23 averaged 2.34 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Plymouth U23 won 0, Bristol City U23 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 11, 2019 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Plymouth U23 and 1.68 for Bristol City U23. This points to a Bristol City U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Plymouth U23

28%

Draws

44%

Bristol City U23

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bristol City U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Plymouth U23 picked up more points recently compared to Bristol City U23.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.68 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Plymouth U23 Clean Sheet 13%

Bristol City U23 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Plymouth U23	Bristol City U23
Matches Played	15	32
Wins	4	18
Draws	5	8
Losses	6	6
Goals Scored	1.13	2.34
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2019 Premier League Cup

Plymouth U23 vs Bristol City U23

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

2:2

Nov 9, 2018 Premier League Cup

Bristol City U23 vs Plymouth U23

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Purrington T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Battle A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Bristol City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eisa M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Richards T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth U23 28 / 100

Bristol City U23 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Plymouth U23 Bristol City U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bristol City U23 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Plymouth U23 attacking → ← attacking Bristol City U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth U23 scored in 60% of their last 15 games.

Bristol City U23 let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Plymouth U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bristol City U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 62

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stoke City U23	6	4	1	1	17:8	13
2	Sunderland U23	6	4	0	2	18:13	12
3	Peterborough U23	6	2	0	4	11:18	6
4	Charlton U23	6	1	1	4	6:13	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Everton U23	6	4	2	0	11:5	14
2	Blackburn U23	6	3	1	2	14:6	10
3	Sheffield Utd U23	6	3	0	3	9:9	9
4	Doncaster U23	6	0	1	5	6:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Burnley U23	6	2	3	1	9:12	9
2	Bournemouth U23	6	2	2	2	13:10	8
3	Liverpool U23	6	1	4	1	5:4	7
4	West Brom U23	6	1	3	2	6:7	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nottingham U23	6	5	1	0	17:6	16
2	Leicester U23	6	1	3	2	8:8	6
3	Exeter U23	6	1	3	2	7:11	6
4	Norwich U23	6	0	3	3	5:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Swansea U23	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
2	Wolves U23	6	3	2	1	7:5	11
3	Oxford Utd U23	6	2	1	3	6:7	7
4	Hull City U23	6	1	1	4	6:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Derby U23	6	4	1	1	18:4	13
2	Aston Villa U23	6	4	0	2	15:6	12
3	Plymouth U23	6	1	3	2	6:8	6
4	Bristol City U23	6	0	2	4	4:25	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Reading U23	6	4	1	1	15:7	13
2	Fulham U23	6	4	0	2	16:5	12
3	Birmingham U23	6	3	1	2	11:9	10
4	Colchester U23	6	0	0	6	3:24	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Leeds U23	6	4	0	2	14:8	12
2	Newcastle Utd U23	6	3	2	1	11:7	11
3	Southampton U23	6	3	1	2	18:10	10
4	Notts County U23	6	0	1	5	6:24	1