Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plymouth U23 vs Exeter U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022 Home Park, Plymouth
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Seymour B.
65' Event
Seymour B.
69' Event
Law R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Exeter U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Plymouth U23
15%
Draws
49%
Exeter U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Exeter U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Exeter U23 come out ahead of Plymouth U23 on wins alone.
  • Exeter U23 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Exeter U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Plymouth U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plymouth U23 Exeter U23
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2021 Premier League Cup
Plymouth U23 vs Exeter U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plymouth U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Law R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Exeter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Seymour B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.15

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plymouth U23 26 / 100
Exeter U23 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plymouth U23 Exeter U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Exeter U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth U23's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Exeter U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Exeter U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Plymouth U23 VS Exeter U23
1 Goals Scored 2
2.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Plymouth U23

(Home)
03 Sept
Plymouth U23
1 : 2
Exeter U23
25 Feb
Plymouth U23
1 : 4
Fulham U23
10 Feb
Plymouth U23
0 : 4
Everton U23
20 Jan
Watford U23
1 : 3
Plymouth U23
29 Nov
Fulham U23
2 : 0
Plymouth U23
Page 1 of 3

Exeter U23

(Away)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Plymouth U23 1
Exeter U23 2