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Plzen vs Spartak Trnava

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plzen play Spartak Trnava in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Plzen averaged 1.62 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Spartak Trnava averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Plzen won 1, Spartak Trnava won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 1, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Plzen and 0.81 for Spartak Trnava. This points to a Plzen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Plzen
26%
Draws
31%
Spartak Trnava
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Plzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Plzen picked up more points recently compared to Spartak Trnava.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Plzen Clean Sheet 26%
Spartak Trnava Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plzen Spartak Trnava
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 15 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Plzen vs Spartak Trnava
1:1
Jun 26, 2021 Club Friendly
Plzen vs Spartak Trnava
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plzen Compare

Top Goalscorer Panos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Spartak Trnava Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehmeti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plzen 44 / 100
Spartak Trnava 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plzen Spartak Trnava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Plzen or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Plzen attacking → ← attacking Spartak Trnava

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plzen scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Spartak Trnava let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Plzen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Trnava lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 38
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88