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Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Maksimchuk A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
6%
Draws
4%
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have won more games recently than Krylya Sovetov Samara 2.
  • Model gives Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Clean Sheet 20%
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 9
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 3 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 85 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Krylya Sovetov Samara 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod VS Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
3 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%