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Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Ural 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Burdenev E.
38' Event
Ryzhkov I.
42' Event
Mikhaylovskiy R.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod and Ural 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
20%
Draws
40%
Ural 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ural 2 haven't matched Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Clean Sheet 15%
Ural 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Ural 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Ural 2
4:1
May 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Ural 2 vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Burdenev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikhaylovskiy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ural 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryzhkov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 41 / 100
Ural 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Ural 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ural 2 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Ural 2 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod VS Ural 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

(Home)
04 Oct
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1 : 2
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
25 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
2 : 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
13 Sept
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0 : 1
Khimik
06 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
0 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
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Ural 2

(Away)
04 Oct
Ural 2
1 : 2
Nosta
27 Sept
Chelyabinsk 2
3 : 2
Ural 2
20 Sept
FK Izhevsk
2 : 1
Ural 2
13 Sept
Ural 2
1 : 1
Orenburg 2
06 Sept
Nosta
0 : 1
Ural 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khimik 22 18 2 2 57:16 56
2 KDV Tomsk 22 17 2 3 40:20 53
3 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 22 13 4 5 51:33 43
4 Akron Togliatti 2 22 10 2 10 46:34 32
5 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 22 6 9 7 25:26 27
6 Dynamo Barnaul 22 7 5 10 31:50 26
7 Orenburg 2 22 6 8 8 31:35 26
8 FK Izhevsk 22 5 8 9 30:32 23
9 Ural 2 22 5 7 10 34:44 22
10 Rubin Kazan 2 22 4 8 10 25:35 20
11 Nosta 22 4 6 12 20:48 18
12 Chelyabinsk 2 22 4 5 13 19:36 17
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)