Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pobeda vs Ohrid

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026 Stadion Goce Delčev, Prilep
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Pobeda and Ohrid finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ohrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pobeda
6%
Draws
90%
Ohrid
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ohrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pobeda haven't matched Ohrid's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ohrid taking it.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ohrid have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Pobeda Clean Sheet 10%
Ohrid Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Ohrid
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 22
Draws 2 4
Losses 25 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 5.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Pobeda
10:0
Sep 13, 2025 2. MFL
Pobeda vs Ohrid
2:3
Mar 24, 2025 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Pobeda
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 2. MFL
Pobeda vs Ohrid
0:1
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Ohrid vs Pobeda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda 10 / 100
Ohrid 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Ohrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OHR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Pobeda scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Ohrid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Ohrid's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda VS Ohrid
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
5.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobeda

(Home)
23 May
Bregalnica Stip
7 : 0
Pobeda
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
8 : 0
Pobeda
02 May
Pobeda
0 : 3
Teteks
25 Apr
Pobeda
1 : 8
Osogovo
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Ohrid

(Away)
18 Jul
Ohrid
1 : 0
Novaci
23 May
Ohrid
7 : 1
Sloga Vinica
16 May
Detonit Plackovica
0 : 2
Ohrid
10 May
Ohrid
3 : 0
Golemo Konjari
06 May
Sileks
1 : 0
Ohrid
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)