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Pobeda vs Ohrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026 Stadion Goce Delčev, Prilep
Pobeda Logo

Pobeda

2 - 3
FT
Ohrid Logo

Ohrid

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Pobeda and Ohrid finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ohrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pobeda
15%
Draws
85%
Ohrid
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ohrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pobeda haven't matched Ohrid's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ohrid taking it.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ohrid have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Pobeda Clean Sheet 10%
Ohrid Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Ohrid
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 4
Losses 25 7
Goals Scored 0.63 2.2
Goals Conceded 3.97 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Pobeda
10:0
Sep 13, 2025 2. MFL
Pobeda vs Ohrid
2:3
Mar 24, 2025 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Pobeda
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 2. MFL
Pobeda vs Ohrid
0:1
Jul 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Ohrid vs Pobeda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda 10 / 100
Ohrid 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Ohrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ohrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Ohrid let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Pobeda's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ohrid's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda VS Ohrid
0.8 Goals Scored 2.13
6.2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
80% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobeda

(Home)
23 May
Bregalnica Stip
7 : 0
Pobeda
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
8 : 0
Pobeda
02 May
Pobeda
0 : 3
Teteks
25 Apr
Pobeda
1 : 8
Osogovo
Page 1 of 6

Ohrid

(Away)
24 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
0 : 2
Ohrid
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Ohrid
2 : 1
Gorno Lisice
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Teteks
0 : 3
Ohrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)