Sport Picks
Pobeda vs Vardar Negotino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North Macedonia
2. MFL 2025/2026 Stadion Goce Delčev, Prilep 
AI Match Summary
The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Pobeda and Vardar Negotino finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vardar Negotino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pobeda haven't matched Vardar Negotino's recent run of results.
- Vardar Negotino are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pobeda | Vardar Negotino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 25 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.97 | 3.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 3.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vardar Negotino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Vardar Negotino's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Pobeda found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pobeda
(Home)Vardar Negotino
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bregalnica Stip | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 72:17 | 71 |
| 2 | FK Skopje | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 72:20 | 71 |
| 3 | Shkendija Haracine | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 67:19 | 69 |
| 4 | Ohrid | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 78:17 | 68 |
| 5 | Belasica Strumica | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 57:21 | 58 |
| 6 | Osogovo | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 53:27 | 54 |
| 7 | Novaci | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 47:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Detonit Plackovica | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:28 | 49 |
| 9 | Kozuf Gevgelija | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 50:26 | 45 |
| 10 | Teteks | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 56:44 | 42 |
| 11 | Kamenica Sasa | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 47:53 | 36 |
| 12 | Vardar Negotino | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 37:95 | 22 |
| 13 | Sloga Vinica | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 31:84 | 15 |
| 14 | Prespa | 30 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 30:76 | 15 |
| 15 | Pobeda | 30 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 19:117 | 11 |
| 16 | Golemo Konjari | 30 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 17:110 | 7 |
