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Osogovo

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pobeda Valandovo play Osogovo in the Club Friendly. Osogovo are favorites here. Recently, Pobeda Valandovo averaged 0.92 goals scored and 4.54 conceded. Osogovo averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Pobeda Valandovo won 1, Osogovo won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 13, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Pobeda Valandovo and 1.05 for Osogovo. This points to a Osogovo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%

Pobeda Valandovo

15%

Draws

74%

Osogovo

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Osogovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Pobeda Valandovo picked up more points recently compared to Osogovo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Pobeda Valandovo Clean Sheet 22%

Osogovo Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pobeda Valandovo	Osogovo
Matches Played	26	36
Wins	2	20
Draws	1	7
Losses	23	9
Goals Scored	0.92	1.75
Goals Conceded	4.54	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.60	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly

Pobeda Valandovo vs Osogovo

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

1:2

Apr 28, 2018 2. MFL

Pobeda Valandovo vs Osogovo

Possession: 49% - 60% Cards: 3 - 0

3:5

Mar 10, 2018 2. MFL

Osogovo vs Pobeda Valandovo

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

4:0

Oct 7, 2017 2. MFL

Pobeda Valandovo vs Osogovo

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda Valandovo 14 / 100

Osogovo 70 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pobeda Valandovo Osogovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osogovo Win (2)

Secondary Pick Osogovo & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +266.6%

33.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pobeda Valandovo attacking → ← attacking Osogovo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pobeda Valandovo scored in 54% of their last 26 games.

Osogovo let in goals in 53% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Pobeda Valandovo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Osogovo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 67

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.60 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50