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Pobeda Valandovo vs Osogovo

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pobeda Valandovo and Osogovo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pobeda Valandovo
30%
Draws
23%
Osogovo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pobeda Valandovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Osogovo come out ahead of Pobeda Valandovo on wins alone.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pobeda Valandovo Clean Sheet 10%
Osogovo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pobeda Valandovo Osogovo
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 7
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1.59
Goals Conceded 4.85 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 3.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Pobeda Valandovo vs Osogovo
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Pobeda Valandovo vs Osogovo
1:2
Apr 28, 2018 2. MFL
Pobeda Valandovo vs Osogovo
3:5
Mar 10, 2018 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Pobeda Valandovo
4:0
Oct 7, 2017 2. MFL
Pobeda Valandovo vs Osogovo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pobeda Valandovo 34 / 100
Osogovo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pobeda Valandovo Osogovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osogovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Osogovo conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Osogovo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pobeda Valandovo scored in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pobeda Valandovo VS Osogovo
0.67 Goals Scored 2.25
4.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pobeda Valandovo

(Home)
02 Sept
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 10
Struga
24 Jul
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 1
Osogovo
30 May
Pobeda Valandovo
0 : 2
Kamjani
28 Feb
Bregalnica Delcevo
1 : 5
Pobeda Valandovo
13 Feb
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 2
Osogovo
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Osogovo

(Away)
19 Sept
Teteks
0 : 0
Osogovo
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
2 : 1
Osogovo
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
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