Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pocheon vs Busan Kyotong

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Pocheon Stadium, Pocheon
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Hong Seok-Hwan
52' Event
Yang Jeong-Un
90' Event
Park Jun-Beom

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Pocheon and Busan Kyotong finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Pocheon
15%
Draws
37%
Busan Kyotong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Pocheon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Pocheon taking it.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 16%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocheon Busan Kyotong
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.72 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 K3-K4 League Cup
Busan Kyotong vs Pocheon
1:0
Jun 6, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Busan Kyotong
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Pocheon
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Busan Kyotong
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Pocheon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pocheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Jun-Beom
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Jeong-Un
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocheon 57 / 100
Busan Kyotong 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocheon Busan Kyotong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocheon's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Busan Kyotong let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Pocheon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pocheon VS Busan Kyotong
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocheon

(Home)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

Busan Kyotong

(Away)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)