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Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Pocheon Stadium
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pocheon host Daejeon Korail in the K3 League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pocheon have averaged 2.38 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Daejeon Korail's 1.88 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Pocheon have won 2 to Daejeon Korail's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring Pocheon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Pocheon
28%
Draws
22%
Daejeon Korail
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Daejeon Korail lately — more wins on the board than Pocheon.
  • Model gives Pocheon a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 18%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocheon Daejeon Korail
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Pocheon
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Pocheon
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
2:6
Aug 31, 2024 K3 League
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocheon 49 / 100
Daejeon Korail 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocheon Daejeon Korail

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Pocheon found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Daejeon Korail conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Pocheon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pocheon VS Daejeon Korail
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429