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Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Pocheon Stadium, Pocheon
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hwang Joon-Seok
27' Event
Yoo Sun-Woo

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pocheon
15%
Draws
48%
Daejeon Korail
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Daejeon Korail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pocheon lately — more wins on the board than Daejeon Korail.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 68%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocheon Daejeon Korail
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Pocheon
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Pocheon
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pocheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoo Sun-Woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Daejeon Korail Compare

Top Goalscorer Hwang Joon-Seok
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocheon 41 / 100
Daejeon Korail 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocheon Daejeon Korail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocheon scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Daejeon Korail conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Pocheon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pocheon VS Daejeon Korail
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocheon

(Home)
03 Oct
Pocheon
0 : 0
Chuncheon
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
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Daejeon Korail

(Away)
02 Oct
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Gangneung
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
10 Ulsan Citizen 24 8 4 12 25:28 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 24 4 8 12 30:46 20
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)