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Pocone vs Gremio Sorriso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Pocone
35%
Draws
26%
Gremio Sorriso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pocone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pocone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pocone's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Pocone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio Sorriso, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pocone Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Sorriso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocone Gremio Sorriso
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Gremio Sorriso vs Pocone
1:3
Jun 2, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Pocone vs Gremio Sorriso
0:0
Mar 8, 2021 Matogrossense
Pocone vs Gremio Sorriso
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocone 76 / 100
Gremio Sorriso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocone Gremio Sorriso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Sorriso let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Pocone scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Pocone went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pocone VS Gremio Sorriso
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocone

(Home)
23 Jun
Pocone
1 : 2
Sport Sinop
16 Jun
Sport Sinop
2 : 2
Pocone
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
02 Jun
Pocone
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
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Gremio Sorriso

(Away)
10 May
Gremio Sorriso
4 : 0
Campo Novo
30 Apr
Sinop FC
3 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 Apr
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
19 Apr
Gremio Sorriso
0 : 1
Sorriso EC
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rondonopolis EC 0
Caceres 1
Sinop FC 6
Várzea Grande EC 2
Acao 1
Sport Sinop 2
Pocone 3
Gremio Sorriso 1
Semi-finals
Caceres 3
Sinop FC 0
Sport Sinop 4
Pocone 3
Final
Caceres 3
Sport Sinop 2