Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pocos de Caldas vs America TO

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America TO in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored America TO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pocos de Caldas
33%
Draws
40%
America TO
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: America TO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America TO lately — more wins on the board than Pocos de Caldas.
  • Win probability leans America TO's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors America TO here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 14%
America TO Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocos de Caldas America TO
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 9 23
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Pocos de Caldas
2:0
Oct 27, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:3
Nov 28, 2021 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Pocos de Caldas
1:0
Nov 20, 2021 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:0
Apr 12, 2009 Mineiro 2
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocos de Caldas 27 / 100
America TO 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocos de Caldas America TO

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pocos de Caldas scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

America TO's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 38 matches.

Pocos de Caldas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pocos de Caldas VS America TO
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce1
Contagem0
Pocos de Caldas1
America TO5
Mamore3
Araxa2
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
Guarani-MG1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce4
America TO3
Mamore5
Guarani-MG4
Final
Valeriodoce2
Mamore3