Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pocos de Caldas vs America TO

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pocos de Caldas in this Mineiro 3 2021 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Pocos de Caldas
15%
Draws
59%
America TO
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America TO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Pocos de Caldas haven't matched America TO's recent run of results.
  • America TO are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • America TO arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor America TO, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors America TO here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 14%
America TO Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocos de Caldas America TO
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 21
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Pocos de Caldas
2:0
Oct 27, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:3
Nov 28, 2021 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Pocos de Caldas
1:0
Nov 20, 2021 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:0
Apr 12, 2009 Mineiro 2
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocos de Caldas 27 / 100
America TO 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocos de Caldas America TO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America TO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Pocos de Caldas's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

America TO has conceded goals in 47% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Pocos de Caldas remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pocos de Caldas VS America TO
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocos de Caldas

(Home)
19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2
Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 6

America TO

(Away)
04 Nov
Guarani-MG
3 : 0
America TO
26 Oct
America TO
1 : 0
Guarani-MG
19 Oct
America TO
2 : 0
Social
12 Oct
Boston City
0 : 2
America TO
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uberaba 3
Boston City 1
Santarritense 0
Manchester Futebol 1
America TO 1
Pocos de Caldas 1
Araxa 0
Varginha 1
Semi-finals
Uberaba 3
Manchester Futebol 0
America TO 0
Varginha 2
Final
Uberaba 3
Varginha 3