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Pocos de Caldas vs EC Itauna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008
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AI Match Summary

Pocos de Caldas in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pocos de Caldas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pocos de Caldas
20%
Draws
40%
EC Itauna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pocos de Caldas lately — more wins on the board than EC Itauna.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 19%
EC Itauna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocos de Caldas EC Itauna
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2011 Mineiro 2
Pocos de Caldas vs EC Itauna
3:0
Feb 26, 2011 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Pocos de Caldas
1:0
Mar 29, 2009 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Pocos de Caldas
2:2
Mar 11, 2009 Mineiro 2
Pocos de Caldas vs EC Itauna
3:3
Apr 9, 2008 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Pocos de Caldas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocos de Caldas 31 / 100
EC Itauna 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocos de Caldas EC Itauna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocos de Caldas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Itauna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

EC Itauna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Pocos de Caldas found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Pocos de Caldas VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocos de Caldas

(Home)
19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2
Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 7

EC Itauna

(Away)
20 Mar
EC Itauna
2 : 2
Tombense
16 Mar
Nacional MG
7 : 3
EC Itauna
13 Mar
Formiga EC
3 : 1
EC Itauna
11 Mar
EC Itauna
3 : 1
Tricordiano
05 Mar
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
EC Itauna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America Mineiro 20 12 5 3 33:14 41
2 Uberlandia 20 10 6 4 25:12 36
3 Caldense 20 11 2 7 29:20 35
4 EC Itauna 20 8 7 5 21:15 31
5 Araxa 20 6 9 5 21:21 27
6 Pocos de Caldas 20 4 11 5 22:24 23
7 URT 20 4 11 5 28:29 23
8 Ideal FC 20 6 4 10 21:29 22
9 Formiga EC 20 6 4 10 17:26 22
10 Valeriodoce 20 4 8 8 18:21 20
11 Uniao Luziense 20 4 3 13 21:45 15
Promotion - Campeonato Mineiro 2009 (Main)