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Pocos de Caldas vs Santarritense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Pocos de Caldas and Santarritense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Pocos de Caldas
15%
Draws
36%
Santarritense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocos de Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Santarritense's 0.9 goals per match outpaces what Pocos de Caldas have produced (0.88).
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Pocos de Caldas taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 19%
Santarritense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocos de Caldas Santarritense
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.88 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2022 Mineiro 3
Santarritense vs Pocos de Caldas
1:0
Oct 30, 2021 Mineiro 3
Santarritense vs Pocos de Caldas
0:0
Oct 8, 2021 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Santarritense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocos de Caldas 85 / 100
Santarritense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocos de Caldas Santarritense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocos de Caldas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santarritense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Pocos de Caldas scored in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Santarritense let in goals in 43% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 0.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pocos de Caldas VS Santarritense
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.67
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocos de Caldas

(Home)
19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2
Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2
Guarani-MG
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Santarritense

(Away)
27 Sept
Santarritense
0 : 8
Venda Nova FC
21 Sept
Nacional de Muriae
3 : 0
Santarritense
29 Sept
Novo Esporte
4 : 0
Santarritense
25 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 1
Novo Esporte
17 Sept
Itabirito
2 : 0
Santarritense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)