Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Pocos de Caldas and Tres Coracoes finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pocos de Caldas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocos de Caldas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pocos de Caldas come out ahead of Tres Coracoes on wins alone.
- Model gives Pocos de Caldas a 49% chance of winning this.
- Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Pocos de Caldas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 16%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pocos de Caldas | Tres Coracoes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 13, 2024 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Tres Coracoes
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Tres Coracoes
3:1
Sep 25, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pocos de Caldas 84 / 100
Tres Coracoes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pocos de Caldas Tres Coracoes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pocos de Caldas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tres Coracoes let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Tres Coracoes has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Pocos de Caldas scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pocos de Caldas VS Tres Coracoes
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pocos de Caldas
(Home) 19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2 Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0 Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1 Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0 Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2 Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0 Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1 Inter de Minas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2 Guarani-MG
18 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 4 Villa Real
01 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 2 Tupynambas
Page 1 of 3
Tres Coracoes
(Away) 19 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3 Guarani-MG
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0 Tres Coracoes
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3 Villa Real
02 Oct
Tres Coracoes
2 : 1 Tupynambas
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 2 Tres Coracoes
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0 Tres Coracoes
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 2 Tres Coracoes
18 Sept
Tupynambas
8 : 0 Tres Coracoes
15 Sept
Villa Real
2 : 0 Tres Coracoes
02 Sept
Guarani-MG
2 : 0 Tres Coracoes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America TO | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Valeriodoce | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Juventus Minasnovense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Boston City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani-MG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Pocos de Caldas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Villa Real | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Tres Coracoes | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Contagem | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Coimbra Esporte Clube | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Inter de Minas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Serranense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamore | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Araxa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Paracatu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 4 | Nacional Uberaba | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Pirapora | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
