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Pocos de Caldas vs Tres Coracoes

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Pocos de Caldas and Tres Coracoes finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pocos de Caldas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pocos de Caldas
6%
Draws
4%
Tres Coracoes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pocos de Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pocos de Caldas come out ahead of Tres Coracoes on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pocos de Caldas a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pocos de Caldas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 16%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocos de Caldas Tres Coracoes
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Tres Coracoes
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Tres Coracoes
3:1
Sep 25, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocos de Caldas 84 / 100
Tres Coracoes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocos de Caldas Tres Coracoes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tres Coracoes let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Tres Coracoes has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Pocos de Caldas scored in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pocos de Caldas VS Tres Coracoes
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163