Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pocos de Caldas vs Varginha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Pocos de Caldas Logo

Pocos de Caldas

1 - 1
FT
Varginha Logo

Varginha

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 3 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pocos de Caldas
35%
Draws
45%
Varginha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pocos de Caldas lately — more wins on the board than Varginha.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Varginha taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 17%
Varginha Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocos de Caldas Varginha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2021 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Varginha
1:1
Oct 3, 2021 Mineiro 3
Varginha vs Pocos de Caldas
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocos de Caldas 23 / 100
Varginha 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocos de Caldas Varginha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varginha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varginha has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pocos de Caldas's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Pocos de Caldas remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pocos de Caldas VS Varginha
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pocos de Caldas

(Home)
19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2
Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 6

Varginha

(Away)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)