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Stadium Background

Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pocos de Caldas in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pocos de Caldas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Pocos de Caldas
22%
Draws
18%
Villa Real
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pocos de Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Pocos de Caldas haven't matched Villa Real's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Pocos de Caldas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocos de Caldas Villa Real
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Pocos de Caldas
2:0
Sep 18, 2024 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
0:4
Oct 15, 2023 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Pocos de Caldas
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
1:0
Sep 17, 2022 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocos de Caldas 56 / 100
Villa Real 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocos de Caldas Villa Real

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Pocos de Caldas found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Villa Real conceded in 50% of 26 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pocos de Caldas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pocos de Caldas VS Villa Real
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163