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Podravac Virje vs Papuk Orahovica

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Podravac Virje play Papuk Orahovica in the 3. HNL North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Podravac Virje averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Papuk Orahovica averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.83 conceded. In past meetings, Podravac Virje won 1, Papuk Orahovica won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 21, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Podravac Virje and 1.13 for Papuk Orahovica. This points to a Papuk Orahovica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Podravac Virje
19%
Draws
43%
Papuk Orahovica
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Papuk Orahovica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Podravac Virje picked up more points recently compared to Papuk Orahovica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Podravac Virje Clean Sheet 21%
Papuk Orahovica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podravac Virje Papuk Orahovica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.4 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL North
Podravac Virje vs Papuk Orahovica
3:0
Feb 26, 2022 3. HNL North
Podravac Virje vs Papuk Orahovica
0:1
Sep 11, 2021 3. HNL North
Papuk Orahovica vs Podravac Virje
1:1
Nov 21, 2020 3. HNL North
Podravac Virje vs Papuk Orahovica
2:3
Sep 5, 2020 3. HNL North
Papuk Orahovica vs Podravac Virje
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podravac Virje 38 / 100
Papuk Orahovica 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podravac Virje Papuk Orahovica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Papuk Orahovica or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Podravac Virje attacking → ← attacking Papuk Orahovica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Podravac Virje scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Papuk Orahovica let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Podravac Virje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Papuk Orahovica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 32
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1NK Polet22170561:1751
2Mladost Zdralovi22155245:1550
3Bjelovar22143553:2645
4Radnik Krizevci22142657:2544
5Medjimurje22123740:3339
6Podravina Ludbreg2287735:4131
7Papuk Orahovica22741132:4325
8Varteks Varazdin (2011)22641220:3922
9NK Koprivnica22381124:4317
10Virovitica22521525:5217
11Podravac Virje22441423:5016
12Rudar Mursko Sredisce22441425:5616