Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022

FC Rieti

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Poggibonsi play FC Rieti in the Serie D - Group E 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Poggibonsi averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. FC Rieti averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Poggibonsi won 3, FC Rieti won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 20, 2022 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Poggibonsi and 0.94 for FC Rieti. This points to a Poggibonsi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Poggibonsi

22%

Draws

38%

FC Rieti

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Poggibonsi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Poggibonsi picked up more points recently compared to FC Rieti.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 24%

FC Rieti Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Poggibonsi	FC Rieti
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	8	9
Draws	8	6
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	0.91	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 Serie D - Group E

Poggibonsi vs FC Rieti

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group E

FC Rieti vs Poggibonsi

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Jan 18, 2015 Serie D - Group E

Poggibonsi vs FC Rieti

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Sep 14, 2014 Serie D - Group E

FC Rieti vs Poggibonsi

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Apr 1, 2007 Lega Pro C2/B

Poggibonsi vs FC Rieti

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poggibonsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbera G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Regoli V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Rieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulibaly O. C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Orlandi A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poggibonsi 41 / 100

FC Rieti 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Poggibonsi FC Rieti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Poggibonsi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Poggibonsi attacking → ← attacking FC Rieti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poggibonsi scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

FC Rieti let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Poggibonsi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Rieti lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 33

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	26	3	5	86:30	81
2	Poggibonsi	34	23	5	6	61:28	74
3	Arezzo	34	18	10	6	65:45	64
4	Follonica Gavorrano	34	18	9	7	63:30	63
5	Pianese	34	16	8	10	58:42	56
6	Lornano Badesse	34	15	9	10	47:43	54
7	Sporting Trestina	34	13	10	11	48:43	49
8	Flaminia	34	13	7	14	49:50	46
9	Tiferno Lerchi	34	10	12	12	36:48	42
10	Montespaccato	34	11	9	14	43:44	42
11	Mobilieri Ponsacco	34	11	9	14	39:40	42
12	Sangiovannese	34	9	14	11	37:39	41
13	Scandicci	34	10	11	13	36:44	41
14	FC Rieti	34	9	8	17	39:58	35
15	Foligno	34	9	8	17	46:65	35
16	Unipomezia	34	8	7	19	38:64	31
17	Cannara	34	5	9	20	27:52	24
18	Pro Livorno	34	5	6	23	31:84	21