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Poggibonsi vs Guidonia 1937

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Mastrantonio V.
83' Event
Coscia W.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Poggibonsi and Guidonia 1937 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guidonia 1937.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Poggibonsi
33%
Draws
27%
Guidonia 1937
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Poggibonsi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Poggibonsi come out ahead of Guidonia 1937 on wins alone.
  • Poggibonsi are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 20%
Guidonia 1937 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poggibonsi Guidonia 1937
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 13
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Poggibonsi vs Guidonia 1937
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poggibonsi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guidonia 1937 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mastrantonio V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coscia W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poggibonsi 40 / 100
Guidonia 1937 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poggibonsi Guidonia 1937

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Poggibonsi scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Guidonia 1937 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Poggibonsi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Poggibonsi VS Guidonia 1937
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%