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Poggibonsi vs Pro Livorno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Costanzo C.
59' Event
Manfredi L.
73' Event
Muscas A.

AI Match Summary

Poggibonsi in this Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poggibonsi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Poggibonsi
6%
Draws
4%
Pro Livorno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Poggibonsi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Poggibonsi have won more games recently than Pro Livorno.
  • Model gives Poggibonsi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 20%
Pro Livorno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poggibonsi Pro Livorno
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Pro Livorno vs Poggibonsi
0:4
Dec 19, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Pro Livorno
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poggibonsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Manfredi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muscas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pro Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Costanzo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poggibonsi 85 / 100
Pro Livorno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poggibonsi Pro Livorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Livorno let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Poggibonsi found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (40 games).

Poggibonsi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Poggibonsi VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Poggibonsi

(Home)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0
Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
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Pro Livorno

(Away)
15 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Pianese
08 May
Scandicci
2 : 2
Pro Livorno
01 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Poggibonsi
27 Apr
Pro Livorno
1 : 0
Tiferno Lerchi
23 Apr
Mobilieri Ponsacco
2 : 0
Pro Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Donato Tavarnelle34263586:3081
2Poggibonsi34235661:2874
3Arezzo341810665:4564
4Follonica Gavorrano34189763:3063
5Pianese341681058:4256
6Lornano Badesse341591047:4354
7Sporting Trestina3413101148:4349
8Flaminia341371449:5046
9Tiferno Lerchi3410121236:4842
10Montespaccato341191443:4442
11Mobilieri Ponsacco341191439:4042
12Sangiovannese349141137:3941
13Scandicci3410111336:4441
14FC Rieti34981739:5835
15Foligno34981746:6535
16Unipomezia34871938:6431
17Cannara34592027:5224
18Pro Livorno34562331:8421
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)