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Poggibonsi vs Ribelle

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Poggibonsi Logo

Poggibonsi

0 - 4
FT
Ribelle Logo

Ribelle

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 game between Poggibonsi and Ribelle finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ribelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Poggibonsi
35%
Draws
29%
Ribelle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Poggibonsi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Poggibonsi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Poggibonsi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 68%
Ribelle Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poggibonsi Ribelle
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 13
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Poggibonsi vs Ribelle
0:4
Sep 11, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Poggibonsi
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poggibonsi 50 / 100
Ribelle 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poggibonsi Ribelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poggibonsi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Poggibonsi found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: Ribelle conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Poggibonsi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Poggibonsi VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Poggibonsi

(Home)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0
Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
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Ribelle

(Away)
21 May
Adriese
3 : 1
Ribelle
07 May
Scandicci
1 : 1
Ribelle
30 Apr
Ribelle
3 : 3
Ravenna
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)