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Poggibonsi vs SC Cenaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Purro E.
25' Event
Vitiello D.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Bellini L.

AI Match Summary

Poggibonsi in this Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poggibonsi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Poggibonsi
35%
Draws
32%
SC Cenaia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Poggibonsi have won more games recently than SC Cenaia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 20%
SC Cenaia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poggibonsi SC Cenaia
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 10 9
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs SC Cenaia
4:1
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group E
SC Cenaia vs Poggibonsi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poggibonsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Purro E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bellini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

SC Cenaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rustichelli C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poggibonsi 31 / 100
SC Cenaia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poggibonsi SC Cenaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poggibonsi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Cenaia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Poggibonsi scored in 64% of their last 39 outings.

Solid form: Poggibonsi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Poggibonsi VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Poggibonsi

(Home)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0
Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 8

SC Cenaia

(Away)
05 May
Mobilieri Ponsacco
0 : 3
SC Cenaia
28 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 3
Ghiviborgo
21 Apr
Poggibonsi
4 : 1
SC Cenaia
14 Apr
SC Cenaia
1 : 1
Sangiovannese
07 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1
SC Cenaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pianese 34 19 11 4 62:35 68
2 Follonica Gavorrano 34 18 11 5 44:25 65
3 Grosseto 34 16 15 3 53:33 63
4 Livorno 34 16 11 7 49:32 59
5 Tau 34 15 13 6 55:31 58
6 Seravezza Pozzi 34 17 6 11 49:40 57
7 Poggibonsi 34 15 7 12 48:42 52
8 Ghiviborgo 34 15 5 14 54:54 50
9 Figline 34 12 13 9 45:43 49
10 Sporting Trestina 34 11 10 13 43:45 43
11 Montevarchi 34 10 13 11 42:41 43
12 Sangiovannese 34 10 12 12 30:37 42
13 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 Orvietana 34 10 8 16 33:44 38
15 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 5 14 15 24:46 29
16 Real Forte Querceta 34 6 10 18 31:46 28
17 Mobilieri Ponsacco 34 2 14 18 33:60 20
18 SC Cenaia 34 3 10 21 29:67 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2023/2024 (Play Offs)