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Poggibonsi vs Scandicci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Giustarini M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 game between Poggibonsi and Scandicci finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poggibonsi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Poggibonsi
30%
Draws
47%
Scandicci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scandicci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Scandicci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Scandicci are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 20%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poggibonsi Scandicci
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 13
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.81 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Scandicci
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Poggibonsi
1:1
Feb 6, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Scandicci
2:0
Sep 26, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Poggibonsi
2:1
Feb 19, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Scandicci vs Poggibonsi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poggibonsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Giustarini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55

Scandicci Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poggibonsi 24 / 100
Scandicci 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poggibonsi Scandicci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scandicci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poggibonsi found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Scandicci has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Poggibonsi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Poggibonsi VS Scandicci
0.8 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
40% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Poggibonsi

(Home)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0
Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 7

Scandicci

(Away)
04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2
Scandicci
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0
Ternana
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0
Rondinella
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)