Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

0 - 0

Ursus Warszawa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 game between Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Ursus Warszawa finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

22%

Draws

18%

Ursus Warszawa

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki come out ahead of Ursus Warszawa on wins alone.
Model gives Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki a 60% chance of winning this.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 17%

Ursus Warszawa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	Ursus Warszawa
Matches Played	37	30
Wins	10	5
Draws	14	6
Losses	13	19
Goals Scored	0.88	0
Goals Conceded	1.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2023 III Liga - Group I

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Ursus Warszawa

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Oct 29, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Ursus Warszawa vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Aug 15, 2020 III Liga - Group I

Ursus Warszawa vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Apr 25, 2020 III Liga - Group I

Ursus Warszawa vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sep 21, 2019 III Liga - Group I

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Ursus Warszawa

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 57 / 100

Ursus Warszawa 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Ursus Warszawa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ursus Warszawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (37 games).

Recent resilience: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	LKS Lodz II	34	20	8	6	76:41	68
2	Legionowo	34	18	10	6	71:43	64
3	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	18	10	6	62:39	64
4	Swit Mazowiecki	34	18	7	9	66:45	61
5	Legia II	34	15	10	9	66:48	55
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	15	10	9	51:43	55
7	Unia Skierniewice	34	15	8	11	41:38	53
8	MKS Mlawa	34	15	7	12	83:71	52
9	Jagiellonia II	34	13	10	11	65:54	49
10	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	12	9	13	53:55	45
11	Pelikan	34	12	9	13	56:52	45
12	Sokol Ostroda	34	10	6	18	49:71	36
13	Olimpia Zambrow	34	9	9	16	40:63	36
14	Bron Radom	34	9	8	17	60:76	35
15	Warta Sieradz	34	8	10	16	39:53	34
16	Concordia Elblag	34	8	9	17	38:61	33
17	Blonianka Blonie	34	8	6	20	35:68	30
18	Ursus Warszawa	34	5	10	19	42:72	25