Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Siedlce vs Legnica

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Stadion ROSRRiT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogon Siedlce play Legnica in the Division 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pogon Siedlce averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Legnica averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Pogon Siedlce won 2, Legnica won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Pogon Siedlce and 1.50 for Legnica. This points to a Legnica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pogon Siedlce
22%
Draws
50%
Legnica
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Legnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Pogon Siedlce picked up more points recently compared to Legnica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 16%
Legnica Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Siedlce Legnica
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.85 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Legnica
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 Polish Cup
Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce
2:0
May 10, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Legnica
3:0
Nov 3, 2024 Division 1
Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Top Goalscorer Flis M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Podlinski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Legnica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Siedlce 28 / 100
Legnica 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Siedlce Legnica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Legnica or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pogon Siedlce attacking → ← attacking Legnica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Siedlce scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Legnica let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Pogon Siedlce went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Legnica lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 46
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wisla342011372:3271
2Slask Wroclaw341711669:4762
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34169970:4757
4Chrobry Glogow341671148:3655
5LKS Lodz341591056:4854
6Polonia Warszawa341581152:4953
7Ruch Chorzow341411954:4653
8Legnica341571252:5352
9Puszcza341213945:4049
10Polonia Bytom341381356:5047
11Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3411121151:5445
12Odra Opole3411111234:4044
13S. Rzeszow341271549:6043
14Stal Mielec341061851:6236
15Pogon Siedlce34991633:4336
16Pruszkow34772040:6828
17Leczna345121739:6227
18Tychy34582140:7423