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Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lomza

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Podlinski K.
64' Event
Bujalski C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Pogon Siedlce and LKS Lomza finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Siedlce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pogon Siedlce
6%
Draws
90%
LKS Lomza
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: LKS Lomza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Siedlce haven't matched LKS Lomza's recent run of results.
  • LKS Lomza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 10%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Siedlce LKS Lomza
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lomza
2:0
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lomza
1:1
Jul 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lomza
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Top Goalscorer Podlinski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bujalski C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

LKS Lomza Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Siedlce 10 / 100
LKS Lomza 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Siedlce LKS Lomza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LKS Lomza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Pogon Siedlce found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

Pogon Siedlce has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Siedlce VS LKS Lomza
0.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%