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Stadium Background

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Cracovia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Bielenda M.
50' Event
Mustafaev R.
73'
Wilczek J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow and Cracovia II finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
17%
Draws
13%
Cracovia II
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow come out ahead of Cracovia II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 20%
Cracovia II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Cracovia II
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Cracovia II
3:2
Aug 16, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Cracovia II vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare

Top Goalscorer Bielenda M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Majda O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cracovia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustafaev R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thiago
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 67 / 100
Cracovia II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Cracovia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cracovia II let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow VS Cracovia II
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

(Home)
11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
29 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 1
Star Starachowice
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 6

Cracovia II

(Away)
18 Jul
Cracovia II
1 : 3
Z. Moravce-Vrable
30 May
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
5 : 6
Cracovia II
23 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
17 May
Cracovia II
3 : 3
Chelmianka Chelm
13 May
Wisla II
3 : 1
Cracovia II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)