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Pogon Szczecin II vs Elana Torun

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Osowski M.
38' Event
Smolinski K.
66' Event
Jakubowski R.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Pogon Szczecin II and Elana Torun finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Szczecin II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Szczecin II
6%
Draws
4%
Elana Torun
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Elana Torun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pogon Szczecin II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 68%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin II Elana Torun
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Elana Torun
4:0
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Pogon Szczecin II
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Elana Torun
0:0
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Pogon Szczecin II
0:0
May 18, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Elana Torun
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Top Goalscorer Osowski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smolinski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Elana Torun Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin II 95 / 100
Elana Torun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin II Elana Torun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Pogon Szczecin II stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pogon Szczecin II scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Elana Torun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin II VS Elana Torun
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415