Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin II vs Jarocin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Bak M.
39' Event
Rostami Y.
45' Event
Bak M.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin II in this III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Szczecin II
6%
Draws
4%
Jarocin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pogon Szczecin II lately — more wins on the board than Jarocin.
  • Model gives Pogon Szczecin II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 68%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin II Jarocin
Matches Played 39 33
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Jarocin
4:0
Aug 6, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Pogon Szczecin II
0:2
Apr 15, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Jarocin
1:0
Sep 8, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Pogon Szczecin II
1:1
Oct 21, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Pogon Szczecin II
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bak M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rostami Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Jarocin Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin II 95 / 100
Jarocin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin II Jarocin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin II found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (39 games).

Solid form: Pogon Szczecin II remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Jarocin let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin II VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin II

(Home)
30 May
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
1 : 4
Pogon Szczecin II
24 May
Pogon Szczecin II
13 : 1
Wda Swiecie
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin II
13 May
Pogon Szczecin II
4 : 0
Elana Torun
09 May
Pogon Szczecin II
2 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
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Jarocin

(Away)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ol. Grudziadz34237473:1876
2Pogon Szczecin II34209569:2569
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol342041075:5464
4Zawisza341951069:4562
5Gedania Gdansk341941163:5961
6Starogard Gdanski34178944:3559
7Swit Szczecin341671161:4155
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341661251:4654
9Kleczew341451553:4847
10Unia Swarzedz3411111237:4244
11Cartusia Kartuzy3411101337:4043
12Blekitni Stargard3410121246:4542
13Stolem Gniewino34991633:5236
14Vineta Wolin348111547:6635
15Unia Solec Kujawski34981740:5935
16Jarocin34961941:6933
17B. Gdynia34842243:7028
18Unia Janikowo34242817:8510
19Przodkowo00000:00
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)