Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin II vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Pawlowski M.
76' Event
Kusmierczyk B.
90' Event
Stanowski K.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin II in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Szczecin II
6%
Draws
4%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have won more games recently than Pogon Szczecin II.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Szczecin II taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 17%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin II Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 3.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Pogon Szczecin II
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:3
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Szczecin II vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:0
Apr 17, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:2
Sep 23, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Pogon Szczecin II
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Top Goalscorer Pawlowski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kusmierczyk B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin II 84 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin II Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Pogon Szczecin II went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pogon Szczecin II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin II VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin II

(Home)
30 May
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
1 : 4
Pogon Szczecin II
24 May
Pogon Szczecin II
13 : 1
Wda Swiecie
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin II
13 May
Pogon Szczecin II
4 : 0
Elana Torun
09 May
Pogon Szczecin II
2 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Away)
18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3
Ol. Grudziadz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
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