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Pogon Szczecin vs Blekitni Stargard

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin play Blekitni Stargard in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pogon Szczecin averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Blekitni Stargard averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Pogon Szczecin won 2, Blekitni Stargard won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 21, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Pogon Szczecin and 1.50 for Blekitni Stargard. This points to a Pogon Szczecin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Pogon Szczecin
28%
Draws
29%
Blekitni Stargard
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pogon Szczecin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Pogon Szczecin picked up more points recently compared to Blekitni Stargard.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 16%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin Blekitni Stargard
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Szczecin vs Blekitni Stargard
1:0
Jan 10, 2018 Club Friendly
Pogon Szczecin vs Blekitni Stargard
3:0
Jun 24, 2017 Club Friendly
Pogon Szczecin vs Blekitni Stargard
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin Compare

Top Goalscorer Paryzek P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin 42 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin Blekitni Stargard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pogon Szczecin or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pogon Szczecin attacking → ← attacking Blekitni Stargard

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Blekitni Stargard let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Pogon Szczecin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Blekitni Stargard lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 37
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00