Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Poluhovica A.
45' Event
Dygus A.
75'
Poniedzialek M.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin W in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pogon Szczecin W
30%
Draws
34%
Lech-UAM Poznan W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pogon Szczecin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Pogon Szczecin W have won more games recently than Lech-UAM Poznan W.
  • Model gives Pogon Szczecin W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 20%
Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin W Lech-UAM Poznan W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs Pogon Szczecin W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Poluhovica A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dygus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Lech-UAM Poznan W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin W 36 / 100
Lech-UAM Poznan W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin W Lech-UAM Poznan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Lech-UAM Poznan W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Pogon Szczecin W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin W VS Lech-UAM Poznan W
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin W

(Home)
17 Jul
RB Leipzig W
9 : 0
Pogon Szczecin W
30 May
Pogon Szczecin W
1 : 0
Slask Wroclaw W
23 May
Leczna W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
02 May
Pogon Szczecin W
2 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
Page 1 of 6

Lech-UAM Poznan W

(Away)
11 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W
2 : 2
Lech-UAM Poznan W
30 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
2 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1
Lech-UAM Poznan W
20 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 4
GKS Katowice W
09 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 1
UKS SMS Lodz W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)