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Pogon Tczew II W vs Sleza Wroclaw W

Poland Poland

Polish Cup Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogon Tczew II W play Sleza Wroclaw W in the Polish Cup Women 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pogon Tczew II W averaged 3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Sleza Wroclaw W averaged 1.58 goals scored and 2.68 conceded. In past meetings, Pogon Tczew II W won 0, Sleza Wroclaw W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.84 for Pogon Tczew II W and 1.48 for Sleza Wroclaw W. This points to a Pogon Tczew II W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pogon Tczew II W
15%
Draws
39%
Sleza Wroclaw W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pogon Tczew II W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Pogon Tczew II W picked up more points recently compared to Sleza Wroclaw W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.84 vs 1.48 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Pogon Tczew II W Clean Sheet 16%
Sleza Wroclaw W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Tczew II W Sleza Wroclaw W
Matches Played 10 19
Wins 6 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 3 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.80 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2023 Polish Cup Women
Pogon Tczew II W vs Sleza Wroclaw W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Tczew II W 45 / 100
Sleza Wroclaw W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Tczew II W Sleza Wroclaw W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pogon Tczew II W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pogon Tczew II W attacking → ← attacking Sleza Wroclaw W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Tczew II W scored in 90% of their last 10 games.

Sleza Wroclaw W let in goals in 89% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pogon Tczew II W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sleza Wroclaw W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 27
2.80 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88