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Pogon Tczew W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Fabova K.
29' Event
Kolodziejek A.
48' Event
Jagodzinska R.

AI Match Summary

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pogon Tczew W
6%
Draws
90%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W have won more games recently than Pogon Tczew W.
  • Model gives AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 11%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Tczew W AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Pogon Tczew W
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
0:3
Mar 15, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Pogon Tczew W
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2:1
Mar 23, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Pogon Tczew W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabova K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolodziejek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Tczew W AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GDA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Pogon Tczew W's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Tczew W VS AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667