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Pogon Tczew W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Kuleczka M.

AI Match Summary

Lech-UAM Poznan W in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lech-UAM Poznan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pogon Tczew W
6%
Draws
90%
Lech-UAM Poznan W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lech-UAM Poznan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lech-UAM Poznan W have won more games recently than Pogon Tczew W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lech-UAM Poznan W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lech-UAM Poznan W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 20%
Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Tczew W Lech-UAM Poznan W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs Pogon Tczew W
3:1
Oct 26, 2022 Polish Cup Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs Pogon Tczew W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lech-UAM Poznan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuleczka M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
Lech-UAM Poznan W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Tczew W Lech-UAM Poznan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech-UAM Poznan W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pogon Tczew W scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Pogon Tczew W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Tczew W VS Lech-UAM Poznan W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667