Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogradeci vs Besa Kavaje

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
66' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pogradeci and Besa Kavaje finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pogradeci
30%
Draws
37%
Besa Kavaje
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Besa Kavaje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogradeci come out ahead of Besa Kavaje on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Besa Kavaje's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 18%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci Besa Kavaje
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogradeci vs Besa Kavaje
1:1
May 11, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Pogradeci vs Besa Kavaje
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Pogradeci
2:3
Jan 17, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Besa Kavaje
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Pogradeci
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 20 / 100
Besa Kavaje 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci Besa Kavaje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pogradeci scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Besa Kavaje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Pogradeci has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogradeci VS Besa Kavaje
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogradeci

(Home)
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
12 Aug
Pogradeci
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
08 Aug
Pogradeci
4 : 2
Pelister
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Besa Kavaje

(Away)
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
25 Jul
Pogradeci
1 : 1
Besa Kavaje
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