Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogradeci vs Erzeni Shijak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Danladi S.
55' Event
Alidema F.
69' Event
Shkulaku H.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 game between Pogradeci and Erzeni Shijak finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogradeci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Pogradeci
20%
Draws
0%
Erzeni Shijak
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogradeci come out ahead of Erzeni Shijak on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pogradeci's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 16%
Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci Erzeni Shijak
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 23
Goals Scored 2.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Erzeni Shijak
3:0
Dec 18, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Pogradeci
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Erzeni Shijak
1:0
Feb 27, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Erzeni Shijak
0:3
Oct 23, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Pogradeci
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogradeci Compare

Top Goalscorer Danladi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alidema F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Erzeni Shijak Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 84 / 100
Erzeni Shijak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci Erzeni Shijak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Erzeni Shijak conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Pogradeci remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Erzeni Shijak's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pogradeci's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pogradeci VS Erzeni Shijak
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogradeci

(Home)
07 Oct
Pogradeci
7 : 0
Delvina
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 7

Erzeni Shijak

(Away)
07 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 2
Erzeni Shijak
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
20 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
2 : 3
Kastrioti
13 Apr
Flamurtari
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
05 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
1 : 5
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vora 33 24 4 5 55:24 76
2 Flamurtari 33 23 6 4 62:21 75
3 Besa Kavaje 33 22 8 3 54:18 74
4 Burreli 33 16 10 7 36:22 58
5 Pogradeci 33 14 7 12 33:35 49
6 Apolonia Fier 33 11 12 10 45:32 45
7 Lushnja 33 13 5 15 39:41 44
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 5 16 35:48 41
9 Kastrioti 33 11 5 17 35:49 38
10 Kukesi 33 8 4 21 29:56 28
11 KF Valbona 33 3 7 23 29:59 16
12 Erzeni Shijak 33 2 5 26 16:63 11
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 (Relegation)