Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Pogradeci play Iliria Kruja in the Kategoria e Parë. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pogradeci averaged 2 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Iliria Kruja averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Pogradeci won 2, Iliria Kruja won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Pogradeci and 1.00 for Iliria Kruja. This points to a Pogradeci double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pogradeci picked up more points recently compared to Iliria Kruja.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.00 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogradeci | Iliria Kruja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogradeci Compare
Iliria Kruja Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogradeci scored in 72% of their last 32 games.
Iliria Kruja let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Pogradeci went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Iliria Kruja lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laci | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 60:23 | 79 |
| 2 | Skenderbeu Korca | 33 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 57:25 | 77 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Kruja | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | 26 |