Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Pogradeci in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogradeci.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Iliria Kruja haven't matched Pogradeci's recent run of results.
- Model gives Pogradeci a 37% chance of winning this.
- Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogradeci | Iliria Kruja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogradeci Compare
Iliria Kruja Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogradeci scored in 66% of their last 32 games.
Defensive concern: Iliria Kruja conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.
Pogradeci has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pogradeci
(Home)Iliria Kruja
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laci | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 60:23 | 79 |
| 2 | Skenderbeu Korca | 33 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 57:25 | 77 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Kruja | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | 26 |
