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Pohang vs Jeonbuk

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Pohang Steel Yard, Pohang
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Paulauskas G.
22'
Kim Jin-Gyu
27'
Sub
Lee Dong-Jun In: Kim Ye-geon
Out: Lee Dong-Jun

AI Match Summary

Jeonbuk in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jeonbuk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pohang
44%
Draws
20%
Jeonbuk
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jeonbuk lately — more wins on the board than Pohang.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Pohang Clean Sheet 17%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohang Jeonbuk
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeonbuk
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Pohang
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeonbuk
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeonbuk
3:1
Jul 19, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeonbuk
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pohang Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jeonbuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulauskas G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Young-Bin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohang 36 / 100
Jeonbuk 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohang Jeonbuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pohang scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Jeonbuk conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Pohang has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pohang VS Jeonbuk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pohang

(Home)
25 Jul
Pohang
0 : 2
Jeonbuk
22 Jul
Seoul
3 : 1
Pohang
18 Jul
Jeju SK
2 : 1
Pohang
11 Jul
Gwangju FC
0 : 3
Pohang
04 Jul
Anyang
2 : 3
Pohang
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Jeonbuk

(Away)
25 Jul
Pohang
0 : 2
Jeonbuk
21 Jul
Jeonbuk
0 : 0
Daejeon
18 Jul
Incheon
1 : 0
Jeonbuk
11 Jul
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 3
Jeonbuk
04 Jul
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Gangwon
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul20133435:1742
2Jeonbuk2096527:1633
3Gangwon2088425:1432
4Ulsan Hyundai2094730:2931
5Anyang2079428:2330
6Incheon2084825:2128
7Pohang2084820:2128
8Jeju SK2076719:2027
9Daejeon2048823:2320
10Gimcheon Sangmu20311621:2820
11Bucheon FC 19952048818:2520
12Gwangju FC20171211:4510
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)