Sport Picks

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Pohja-Sakala vs Helios

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Pohja-Sakala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pohja-Sakala
15%
Draws
34%
Helios
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pohja-Sakala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pohja-Sakala come out ahead of Helios on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Pohja-Sakala taking it.
  • Pohja-Sakala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pohja-Sakala, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Pohja-Sakala Clean Sheet 20%
Helios Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohja-Sakala Helios
Matches Played 12 14
Wins 6 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.58 5.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2019 Estonian Cup
Pohja-Sakala vs Helios
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohja-Sakala 85 / 100
Helios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohja-Sakala Helios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pohja-Sakala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pohja-Sakala's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Helios has conceded goals in 100% of their last 13 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Pohja-Sakala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pohja-Sakala VS Helios
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 7.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Pohja-Sakala

(Home)
12 Nov
Pohja-Sakala
0 : 3
Flora
02 Sept
Pohja-Sakala
6 : 1
Lelle
28 Jul
Pohja-Sakala
5 : 1
Aksi Wolves
20 Aug
Pohja-Sakala
0 : 3
Tallinna Kalev
28 Jul
Pohja-Sakala
5 : 1
Helios
Page 1 of 3

Helios

(Away)
26 Jul
Helios
0 : 9
Narva
03 Jul
Helios
:
JK 32. keskkool
01 Sept
Helios
0 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1
Rakvere
28 Jul
FCI Tallinn
5 : 1
Helios
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Elva 3
SK EPMU Tartu 0
TBD -
Viimsi Lovid -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarvastu -
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TransferWise 1
Lelle 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
ReUnited -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Flora U19 10
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Molycorp Silmet -
Tallinna Kalev III 4
Tammeka Tartu IV 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
JK 32. keskkool -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Tulevik -
Kadrina SK Moe -
Viimsi JK 2 1
Igiliikur 2
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Soccernet 1
Mulgi 0
Tallinna Wolves 1
Legion II 3
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Aksi Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Paide Linnameeskond 9
Olympic Tallinn 1
TBD -
Kristiine -
Teleios -
TBD -
Viking 0
Pohja-Tallinna 18
Maardu Linnameeskond 12
Valga Warrior 0
TBD -
Elbato -
Kohtla-Nomme -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Zenit Tallinn 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 0
TBD -
Levadia -
Paide Linnameeskond II 13
Mauruse Saurused 2
TBD -
Kose -
Keila JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
Maksatransport 1
Kadakas 3
Legion -
TBD -
Maardu Aliens -
Narva -
Eston Villa II -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Parnu Sadam 5
Kohila 0
Jogeva 2
Otepaa 4
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool -
TBD -
Metsis 0
Eston Villa 15
Marjamaa Kompanii 6
FC Sssolutions 2
TBD -
Anija -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Rakvere 0
TBD -
Voru Helios -
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Helios 5
Rumori Calcio II 1
Parnu-Jaagupi 2
Pohja-Sakala 5
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Jogeva Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna 2 -
1/32-finals
Elva 7
Viimsi Lovid 0
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Tarvastu 7
Tabasalu 1
Lelle 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
Flora Tallinn U21 5
ReUnited 5
JK Poseidon 1
Flora U19 2
Molycorp Silmet 5
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 6
Tulevik 7
Igiliikur 1
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Tallinna Wolves 5
Legion II 9
Aksi Wolves 0
Nomme Utd 1
Tammeka Tartu 3
Paide Linnameeskond 10
Kristiine 0
Teleios 2
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Elbato 0
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Flora 12
Helm 3
Rumori Calcio 2
Zenit Tallinn 0
Levadia 7
Paide Linnameeskond II 5
Kose 0
Keila JK 0
Kalju 2
Kuressaare 12
Kadakas 1
Legion 0
Narva 7
Eston Villa II 1
Loo JK 0
Parnu Sadam 1
Otepaa 2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Eston Villa 2
Marjamaa Kompanii 1
Anija 2
Tartu JK Welco 10
Jarva-Jaani 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Voru Helios 1
Tallinna Kalev 1
FC Hell Hunt 0
Helios 1
Pohja-Sakala 5
Viimsi JK 2
Raplamaa 0
Jogeva Wolves 0
Pohja-Tallinna 2 6
1/16-finals
Elva 4
Tarvastu 1
Tabasalu 2
Flora Tallinn U21 1
ReUnited 5
Molycorp Silmet 2
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Tulevik 11
Tallinna Wolves 0
Legion II 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Flora 7
Helm 1
Levadia 21
Paide Linnameeskond II 0
Kalju 3
Kuressaare 1
Narva 3
Eston Villa II 3
Otepaa 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Anija 0
Tartu JK Welco 1
Voru Helios 2
Tallinna Kalev 3
Pohja-Sakala 0
Viimsi JK 0
Pohja-Tallinna 2 2
1/8-finals
Elva 2
Tabasalu 0
ReUnited 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Flora 3
Levadia 1
Kalju 2
Narva 21
Eston Villa II 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 0
Voru Helios 1
Tallinna Kalev 7
Pohja-Tallinna 2 0
Quarter-finals
Elva 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Flora 3
Kalju 1
Narva 2
Voru Helios 0
Tallinna Kalev 6
Semi-finals
Elva 2
Flora 4
Narva 4
Tallinna Kalev 1
Final
Flora 2
Narva 1