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Pohja-Sakala vs Lelle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pohja-Sakala in this Estonian Cup 2020/2021 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Pohja-Sakala
15%
Draws
21%
Lelle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pohja-Sakala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lelle lately — more wins on the board than Pohja-Sakala.
  • Pohja-Sakala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Lelle arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pohja-Sakala, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pohja-Sakala Clean Sheet 20%
Lelle Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohja-Sakala Lelle
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.58 4.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2020 Estonian Cup
Pohja-Sakala vs Lelle
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohja-Sakala 85 / 100
Lelle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohja-Sakala Lelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pohja-Sakala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pohja-Sakala scored in 92% of their last 12 outings.

Lelle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Pohja-Sakala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pohja-Sakala VS Lelle
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 4.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pohja-Sakala

(Home)
12 Nov
Pohja-Sakala
0 : 3
Flora
02 Sept
Pohja-Sakala
6 : 1
Lelle
28 Jul
Pohja-Sakala
5 : 1
Aksi Wolves
20 Aug
Pohja-Sakala
0 : 3
Tallinna Kalev
28 Jul
Pohja-Sakala
5 : 1
Helios
Page 1 of 3

Lelle

(Away)
20 Jul
Tulevik
26 : 0
Lelle
02 Sept
Pohja-Sakala
6 : 1
Lelle
07 Aug
Lelle
0 : 1
Tabasalu
20 Jun
Lelle
2 : 1
TransferWise
18 Jul
Tabasalu
6 : 0
Lelle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U19 -
FCI Tallinn 5
Helios 1
Kuressaare 18
Anija 0
Pohja-Sakala 5
Aksi Wolves 1
TBD -
Lelle -
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Teleios 1
TBD -
Soccernet -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva -
Viimsi Lovid -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Narva 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
Parnu Sadam 8
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond IV 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 2
Raplamaa 3
Eston Villa II 0
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Imavere Forss -
TBD -
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 6
Nomme Utd 3
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
Rummu Dunamo -
Kohvile 9
JK 32. keskkool 0
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
Legion 9
HF Beer 0
Saku Sporting 6
Kadakas 0
TBD -
Rakvere -
Paide Linnameeskond 24
Eyjafjallajokull 0
TBD -
Tulevik U21 -
Tallinna Pocarr 3
Igiliikur 0
TBD -
ReUnited -
Olympic Tallinn 1
JK Poseidon 2
TBD -
Kose -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II -
TBD -
FC Tallinn 2
Elva 1
Vandra Vaprus -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Levadia 6
Kohtla-Nomme 0
JK Retro -
TBD -
Loo JK 9
Metsis 1
Eston Villa 2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 -
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jogeva Wolves 2
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Viimsi JK 4
Kristiine 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 9
FC Sssolutions 0
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2
Flora U19 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Kuressaare 3
Pohja-Sakala 6
Lelle 1
Parnu 1
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Soccernet 1
Rumori Calcio II 3
FC Lootos Polva 0
Viimsi Lovid 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tammeka Tartu 13
Helm 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Narva 5
Rumori Calcio 2
Parnu Sadam 3
Tallinna Wolves 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Raplamaa 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Jogeva 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 5
Valga Warrior 1
TransferWise 0
Tallinna Kalev 11
Kalju 8
Rummu Dunamo 0
Kohvile 1
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Maksatransport 0
Legion 6
Saku Sporting 3
Rakvere 2
Paide Linnameeskond 9
Tulevik U21 0
Tallinna Pocarr 1
ReUnited 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kose 2
Tulevik -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II 0
FC Tallinn 4
Vandra Vaprus 5
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Levadia 2
JK Retro 5
Loo JK 0
Eston Villa 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 0
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jarva-Jaani 0
Viimsi JK 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Hiiumaa 3
Keila JK 4
1/16-finals
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 6
Pohja-Sakala 0
Flora 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 2
Rumori Calcio II 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Helm 1
Narva 2
Parnu Sadam -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Raplamaa 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Kalju 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Legion 11
Saku Sporting 0
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Tallinna Pocarr 0
Kose 0
Tulevik 8
FC Tallinn 2
Vandra Vaprus 0
Levadia 5
JK Retro 0
Eston Villa 2
Pohja-Tallinna 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Keila JK 3
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 0
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Tammeka Tartu 15
Narva 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
FC Hell Hunt 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Kalju 3
Legion 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Tulevik 3
FC Tallinn 0
Levadia 3
Eston Villa 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Kalju 1
Tulevik 2
Levadia 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 2
Narva 1
Tulevik 0
Levadia 2
Final
Flora 0
Levadia 1