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Pohja-Tallinna vs Parnu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Esiliiga B 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2019 game between Pohja-Tallinna and Parnu finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pohja-Tallinna
15%
Draws
0%
Parnu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pohja-Tallinna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parnu come out ahead of Pohja-Tallinna on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Pohja-Tallinna taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • History favors Parnu here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Pohja-Tallinna Clean Sheet 20%
Parnu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohja-Tallinna Parnu
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 2.07 1.67
Goals Conceded 4.03 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2019 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Pohja-Tallinna
12:1
Aug 16, 2019 Esiliiga B
Pohja-Tallinna vs Parnu
0:3
Jun 20, 2019 Esiliiga B
Pohja-Tallinna vs Parnu
2:3
Mar 10, 2019 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Pohja-Tallinna
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohja-Tallinna 85 / 100
Parnu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohja-Tallinna Parnu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pohja-Tallinna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Parnu has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Pohja-Tallinna's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pohja-Tallinna VS Parnu
3 Goals Scored 1.13
6 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pohja-Tallinna

(Home)
29 Jul
Flora U19
6 : 3
Pohja-Tallinna
22 Jun
Pohja-Tallinna
2 : 4
Rumori Calcio
29 Jul
Vastseliina Tannem
:
Pohja-Tallinna
14 Oct
Eston Villa
2 : 1
Pohja-Tallinna
16 Sept
Pohja-Tallinna
4 : 0
Jarva-Jaani
Page 1 of 6

Parnu

(Away)
10 Nov
Kuressaare U21
3 : 1
Parnu
03 Nov
Parnu
1 : 10
Kalju U21
27 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
2 : 1
Parnu
24 Oct
Parnu
2 : 3
Tartu Kalev
20 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 3
Parnu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 27 4 5 118:38 85
2 Vandra Vaprus 36 21 5 10 97:71 68
3 Parnu 36 19 5 12 82:53 62
4 Kalju U21 36 19 4 13 79:50 61
5 Viimsi JK 36 16 4 16 75:68 52
6 Keila JK 36 14 4 18 67:87 46
7 Tabasalu 36 13 4 19 77:79 43
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 6 19 61:87 39
9 Voru Helios 36 10 4 22 48:101 34
10 Pohja-Tallinna 36 9 2 25 53:123 29
Promotion - Esiliiga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2019 (Relegation)